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Dollar set for positive week ahead of monthly jobs report

The U.S. dollar gained in early European trade Friday, on course for its strongest week since July ahead of the release of the widely-watched monthly official jobs report.

At 04:10 ET (09:10 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.3% higher at 102.410, set for a weekly gain of around 1.3%.

Dollar set for strong weekly gains
The dollar has rebounded sharply this week as economic resilience has prompted traders to scale back expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates as early as the first quarter of 2024. Data released on Thursday showed that U.S. private employers added far more roles than expected in December, with ADP private payrolls coming in at 164,000 last month, rising from a downwardly revised mark of 101,000 in November. On Wednesday, separate data from the Labor Department showed that the number of people quitting their jobs fell to its lowest level since 2021 in November, while U.S. job openings also dropped to an almost three-year low. These numbers serve as a precursor to the all-important nonfarm payrolls report due later this session, which could offer further insight into the U.S. jobs picture. “The start of 2024 FX trading has been characterised by a modest reversal of some of the very benign, pro-risk trends that dominated late last year,” said analysts at ING, in a note. “At the heart of the story is the consensus view of a U.S. soft landing, where inflation back on target can allow the Federal Reserve to bring rates back to some kind of normal level without the economy needing to contract sharply.”